A hundred bucks? No. My first quote in the Ben Franklin style (what are those nuggets called?)
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To document is not enough. Investigate! Investigate! Investigate! Then you will have answers as well as evidence.
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Well; he might have such an idea but would write in a concise; witty style.
In honor of all Dad’s, here is my grille, on which you see some burgers (beef and fake veggie) I made on Memorial Day.
Special honor to Tim Russert. His wasn’t my favorite Sunday TV program (that would be the light and hearty CBS Sunday Morning) but he was an awesome news guy who added a lot to NBC’s political reporting. I’ll miss him and was very upset at the news of his death.
My brother and his wife and 2 kids — the residents of The Shire — have a rare birthday condition. Rowland is a Leo, Shannon is a Taurus. One of the boys, Roman, is a Leo; the other, a Taurus.
What are the odds of that?
Of what? It’s crucial to write out the problem first. Let’s talk this through and establish facts.
The are 12 zodiac signs. Every person has one and only one sign.
There are 2 pairs of people. The first pair consists of the sign Leo and the sign Taurus. The second pair consists of a Leo and a Taurus.
What are the odds that both Rowland and Roman are Leo?
1/12 * 1/12
What are the odds that both Shannon and John are Taurus?
1/12 * 1/12
(Notice how we didn’t look for the odds of Roman being a Leo BUT NOT a Taurus…
Or of John being a Taurus BUT NOT a Leo…
That would be redundant. The 1/12 handles it already. Being a Leo excludes Roman from being a Taurus. )
So the answer to the above problem is: 1/12 * 1/12 * 1/12 * 1/12
Those are VERY high odds. 4.74 e-05
But what if we look instead at the Kind of Arrangement rather than the specific signs? I think this is the question being asked:
The are 12 zodiac signs. Every person has one and only one sign.
There are 2 pairs of people. The first pair (parents) consists of 2 different signs. The second pair’s signs match up with the first pair.
Let’s take that one at a time:
1. What are the odds that 2 people would not have the same zodiac sign?
A: Set the sign of person 1 to a value, X, as a constant. (X in this case can be “Leo”). The constant is equal to 1, because there was a 100% chance person 1 would have a sign.
So, what are the odds that person 2 is not X?
A: 11/12 (Shannon had an 11 out of 12 chance of not being a Leo)
She could have been any number of non-Leo signs: Aries, Pisces, Sagittarius….. it doesn’t matter. But for the purpose of Step 2, we have to define a sign. Let’s go with Taurus.
2. In the second pair (children), what are the odds that person 1 is a Leo and person 2 is a Taurus?
A: We’ve already did this one…. it’s 1/12 * 1/12
The math is: 1 * 11/12 * 1/12 * 1/12
.917 * .083 * .083
The final answer is: .0063
Or, in English:
There was a 63/10,000 chance….
By the way, when I was trying to work this out, a Camp Happy citizen suggested I’d be good at poker. However, he was assuming I use Numbers and Probability to make decisions. Alas, as a Myers-Briggs INFP, I too often go by “instinct” and “feelings.” I’m trying to change that, though! What are the odds of me succeeding?
As you may know, I suffer from the Myers-Briggs INFP.
Lately I’ve been making efforts to be less introverted. Then yesterday I thought of a justification for striving towards extroversion. Y’know that expression: “I’ll sleep when I’m dead?”
Welp, along those lines: “There’ll be plenty of time to be an introvert when I’m dead.”
Engage the world while you can!
We all love pizza. And we all are familiar with the many types of establishments offering pizza. Each of us has a list of local pizza places which he or she can describe. Here are some ‘tags’ off the top of my head:
cheap, awful, excellent, great sauce, terrible crust, scrimps on toppings, canned sauce, processed cheese, take-out only, only eat when drunk…
But if YOU were to own a pizza establishment, what kind of pizza would it serve?
I think this is a quick way to learn about what you want to give to the world, and what you expect back from it. And shouldn’t our values and beliefs be intertwined with any business we operate?
There’s plenty of crappy pizza joints. Maybe their owners have no sense of taste, or maybe they find it more profitable to serve bad pizza.
What would you serve?